Berkshire Crosses 10% in Lennar as the Builder Trades Margin for Volume

By
CTOL Staff Reporter
1 min read

The September purchases deepen Berkshire's housing exposure in the Greg Abel era. Lennar's latest quarter shows the operating model Berkshire is buying into: 12% incentives and thin margins, offset by faster turns and very little owned land.

Berkshire Hathaway has lifted its Lennar position above 10% after buying roughly 2.6 million additional Class A shares in September, taking the holding to about 23.7 million shares plus more than 500,000 Class B shares. Contemporary reporting puts the latest purchases at about $212 million, made at roughly $74 to $80 a share.

This is a Greg Abel-era Berkshire position, not a clean new "Buffett bet." Abel has been chief executive since January, and reporting has linked the Lennar investment to portfolio manager Ted Weschler, although Berkshire has not publicly assigned authorship of each trade.

The more useful investor question is what Lennar is doing with capital while housing affordability remains hostile.

Lennar is defending volume by spending margin

In the August quarter, Lennar delivered 20,840 homes and generated $8.0 billion of revenue. Its average sales price was $372,000, with about 12% of incentives and base-price adjustments used to sustain demand. Home-sales gross margin was 15.8%, down from 17.5% a year earlier, while the company reported a 6.6% net margin after SG&A.

That is not an earnings profile built for a quick cyclical rebound. It is an operating decision to preserve throughput through weak affordability.

The counterweight is capital velocity. Lennar says construction cost per square foot has fallen 14% from its fourth-quarter 2023 baseline, cycle time is down to 116 days, completed unsold inventory is 1.8 homes per community and inventory turns have reached 2.4 times. Of roughly 488,000 homesites it owns or controls, fewer than 2.5% sit on its balance sheet.

That land structure is central to the through-cycle case. A builder that controls lots through options and other off-balance-sheet arrangements can keep producing without tying as much corporate capital into land. Lower gross margin is therefore only half the return equation; the other half is how quickly Lennar can turn a smaller owned capital base.

Management has still cut its full-year delivery target to 80,000-81,000 homes from 82,000-83,000 as rates and demand worsened. Berkshire is buying during that deterioration, not after evidence of a housing recovery.

Crossing 10% also does not create corporate control. The Miller family retains decisive influence through Lennar's supervoting Class B structure. Berkshire can become a major economic shareholder while remaining outside the control position.

The September purchases are best read as capital committed to Lennar's through-cycle operating model: use incentives to keep factories and trades moving, reduce land ownership, shorten cycle times and try to earn acceptable returns through turnover rather than peak margins. The strongest confirmation will come from whether those 2.4x turns and asset-light land controls can protect returns if mid-teens gross margins persist.

Sources

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