Crusoe plans up to 106 MW of AI computing at Itaipú; costs and customers remain undisclosed

By
CTOL Staff Reporter
1 min read

Crusoe and Araico plan AI computing beside the Itaipú dam substation from mid-2027. The release gives a capacity target and launch date, but no power price, customer or cost.

Crusoe plans up to 106 megawatts of AI computing beside Paraguay's Itaipú dam from mid-2027. Its release names no power price, customer or cost, and those three factors determine whether the site can earn a return.

Crusoe is valued at $30.9 billion after a $3.9 billion round in September. The announced deal has yet to prove itself as a business.

What the Paraguay plan includes

Crusoe says the facility, next to the Itaipú substation, will serve "U.S. cloud customers and growing in-region demand across Latin America". The release names no customer and no first-phase size. It describes neither the grid connection nor any fibre route, and it does not say who sells the power.

The partner is Araico, a Paraguayan energy and infrastructure developer that calls itself the AI Powerhouse of Latin America. Crusoe calls the site its first dedicated AI Cloud deployment in Latin America. The release calls the dam one of the largest and most reliable 100% renewable power sources in the world.

The 106 megawatts is a ceiling. Crusoe plans an initial deployment in mid-2027, "with a path to scale to 106 MW of IT capacity". The release adds "long-term options to expand to approximately 280 MW total". It gives no size for the first phase.

Why the undisclosed power price matters

The power price is central to the project's economics. Running 106 MW all year takes about 930,000 megawatt hours (MWh), by our arithmetic at full load. One MWh is one megawatt used for one hour.

Each $1 per MWh is worth about $930,000 a year. A $10 swing is about $9.3 million. The release gives no price to apply that to.

It offers only Araico's claim that it turns Itaipú power into compute with "the most competitive tokenomics in the world". No number comes with the claim. The release names neither the power seller nor the volume committed. The dam's reliability does not establish what the power will cost.

Crusoe's pitch explains the choice of site. Cofounder Cully Cavness says the company was founded on the idea to "build digital infrastructure where power is abundant, accessible and environmentally-aligned". He calls Itaipú one of the most abundant renewable power sources in the world. He says the energy-first strategy is "designed precisely to unlock and add value to this kind of power resource".

Cavness also described his hopes for the project. He looks forward to making the project "a success for the people of Paraguay, for our local partners and for Crusoe". He gave no measure of success.

The partners split the work in the release's own words. Araico will lead local development and site infrastructure. Crusoe will manage, operate and deliver the physical compute for Crusoe Cloud. The release says the approach pairs local infrastructure development expertise with Crusoe's AI factory and cloud operations track record.

A separate $700 million financing deal

Crusoe also announced a $700 million facility from Neuberger Specialty Finance that day. The debt is secured by recently ordered power generation equipment. It funds gas generators for Crusoe built and owned AI factories.

Crusoe's Nick Sammut said the facility lets it "secure long-lead power generation assets aligned with development timelines". Neuberger's Sean Hinze said behind-the-meter power is "increasingly important to the AI buildout". The lender says it has invested more than $16 billion since its founding in 2018. It manages over $5 billion across 50 plus portfolio companies.

The releases make no connection between the financing and the Paraguay project. The Neuberger release does not mention Paraguay, and the Paraguay release names no financing. It says only that the deployment extends Crusoe's reach across North America, Europe and now Latin America.

Crusoe describes itself as offering a "reliable, scalable, cost-effective, energy-first solution for AI infrastructure". It says it has more than 6 gigawatts of gross AI infrastructure capacity under contract. The Neuberger release says that capacity spans its data centres and cloud platform. Customers include Microsoft, Google, Oracle and OpenAI's Stargate initiative. It does not say any of that capacity is in Paraguay.

Araico's homepage lists an Iguazú AI Campus in Paraguay with 1.3 gigawatts of capacity, marked in development. Its tagline says it builds "factories of the future, optimized for the highest intelligence per dollar". Neither company's page says whether Crusoe's site belongs to that campus.

Official support leaves the economics unanswered

Officials and partners backed the project in strong terms. Araico's chief executive, Alejandro Zuccolillo, spoke of "capturing maximum value from Paraguay's renewable power right here at home". He also spoke of turning that abundance into "high-tech industrial growth, local jobs, and digital innovation". Araico describes itself as built on a conviction that the next era of human capability will rest on power that is "clean, abundant, and in the right place".

President Santiago Peña said the partnership "directly unlocks new value from our natural resources". He said it "brings jobs, investment, technology, and innovation to Paraguay". He called it "an opportunity for Paraguay to establish itself as a regional leader in AI infrastructure".

Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau led a US business delegation in Paraguay when the agreement was signed. He said "American capital and know-how will establish Paraguay as a world-class tech powerhouse". He added that the project "has the potential to be the largest private foreign investment in Paraguayan history and reinforces the strong and longstanding bonds between our countries". Neither he nor Peña gave an amount, and the release has no investment figure.

EFE said the capacity could be seen as modest beside the large Stargate data centre Crusoe is developing. It adds that the US State Department had announced the signing in advance, on Wednesday, and that Itaipú has 14,000 MW installed. Paraguay also signed a separate accord with Taiwan in May, called Yguazú Digital, for a binational data centre.

Neither the president's support nor the diplomat's establishes a power price. The return depends on the price per megawatt hour, the first-phase size and signed customers. None has been disclosed.

Crusoe plans to bring the first deployment online in mid-2027, about eight months from now, according to its release. The release gives the date but not the size of that first phase. Until Crusoe or Araico publishes a power price, a customer and a cost, the economics of the site stay unknown.

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